Compartimos con ustedes la traducción realizada por Luis Cortés del Grupo de Estudios Marxistas (GEM), donde se resumen las principales medidas económicas y políticas que tomarán curso en Grecia. Un aporte para el debate en relación a la práctica política del nuevo Gobierno.
El Contexto de la Negociación
Exigimos elecciones parlamentarias inmediatas y un fuerte mandato de negociación con el objetivo de:
- Lograr la cancelación de la mayor parte del valor nominal de la deuda pública para que sea sostenible en el contexto de una «Conferencia Europea de la Deuda». Ocurrió en Alemania en 1953. También puede ocurrir para el Sur de Europa y Grecia.
- Incluir una «cláusula de crecimiento» en el pago de la parte restante de la deuda, de modo que sea financiada por el crecimiento y no por el presupuesto.
- Incluir un período significativo de gracia, es decir una «moratoria» para el pago de la deuda, a fin de ahorrar fondos para el crecimiento.
- Excluir la inversión pública de las restricciones del Pacto de Estabilidad y Crecimiento.
- Pactar un «New Deal europeo» de inversión pública, financiada por el Banco Europeo de Inversiones..
- La flexibilización cuantitativa por parte del Banco Central Europeo con compra directa de bonos soberanos.
- Por último, declaramos una vez más que la cuestión del préstamo forzoso del Banco de Grecia debido a la ocupación nazi está abierto para nosotros. Nuestros socios saben. Se convertirá en la posición oficial del país desde nuestros primeros días en el poder.
Sobre la base de este plan, vamos a luchar y hallar una solución socialmente viable al problema de la deuda de Grecia para que nuestro país sea capaz de pagar la deuda restante restante a partir de la creación de nueva riqueza y no de superávits primarios, que privan a la sociedad de ingresos.
Con ese plan, vamos a conducir con seguridad al país para la recuperación y reconstrucción productiva:
- Aumentando inmediatamente la inversión pública en al menos € 4.000 millones.
- Revertiendo gradualmente todas las injusticias del Memorandum.
- Restaurando gradualmente los salarios y las pensiones con el fin de aumentar el consumo y la demanda.
- Proporcionando a las pequeñas y medianas empresas incentivos para el empleo, y subsidiando el costo energético de la industria a cambio de una cláusula para el empleo y el medioambiente.
- Invirtiendo en conocimiento, investigación y nuevas tecnologías con el fin de recuperar a los jóvenes científicos, que han estado emigrando masivamente en los últimos años.
- Reconstruyendo el Estado de Bienestar, restableciendo del Estado de Derecho y creando de un Estado meritocrático.
Estamos dispuestos a negociar y estamos trabajando en la construcción de las más amplias alianzas posibles a través de Europa.
El actual gobierno de Samarás está una vez más dispuesto a aceptar las decisiones de los acreedores. La única alianza que se preocupa en construir es con el gobierno alemán.
Esta es nuestra diferencia y este es, al final, el dilema:
Negociación europea por un gobierno SYRIZA, o la aceptación de las condiciones de los acreedores de Grecia por el gobierno de Samaras.
Negociación o no negociación.
Crecimiento o austeridad.
SYRIZA o Nueva Democracia.
¿Pero qué pasará mientras las negociaciones aun no se terminan?
Con SYRIZA, para un Plan Nacional de Reconstrucción de la sociedad griega.
Asumimos la responsabilidad y en consecuencia, estamos comprometidos con el pueblo griego para un Plan Nacional de Reconstrucción, que sustituirá al Memorandum ya desde nuestros primeros días en el poder, antes y con independencia del resultado de la negociación.
El Plan de Reconstrucción Nacional se centra en cuatro grandes pilares para revertir la desintegración social y económica, para reconstruir la economía y la salida de la crisis.
LOS CUATRO PILARES DEL PLAN DE RECONSTRUCCIÓN NACIONAL
- Enfrentar la crisis humanitaria
- Reactivar la economía y promover la justicia fiscal
- Recuperar el empleo
- Transformar el sistema político para profundizar la democracia
Primer Pilar: Enfrentar la crisis humanitaria
Costo total estimado: € 1.882 millones
Nuestro programa para enfrentar de inmediato la crisis humanitaria, con un costo estimado en alrededor de € 2.000 millones, equivale a una red de intervenciones de emergencia, para levantar un escudo de protección de los estratos sociales más vulnerables.
– Electricidad gratis para 300.000 hogares actualmente bajo la línea de pobreza, hasta los 300 kWh por mes por familia; es decir, 3.600 kWh por año. Costo total: € 59,4 millones.
– Programa de subsidios alimenticios para 300.000 familias sin ingresos. La implementación se llevará a cabo a través de un organismo público de coordinación, en cooperación con las autoridades locales, la Iglesia y las organizaciones solidarias. Costo total: € 756 millones.
– Programa para la garantía de vivienda. El objetivo es la prestación inicialmente de 30.000 departamentos (30, 50 y 70 m²), mediante la subvención de arriendo a 3 € por m². Costo total: € 54 millones.
– Restitución del bono de Navidad, como una 13° pensión, a 1.262.920 pensionistas con una pensión de hasta € 700. Costo total: € 543,06 millones.
– La asistencia médica y farmacéutica gratuita para los desempleados sin seguro. Costo total: € 350 millones.
– Tarjeta especial de transporte público para los que llevan desempleados largo tiempo y para los que están bajo la línea de pobreza. Costo total: € 120 millones.
– Derogación de la nivelación del impuesto especial sobre el consumo de gasolina para calefacción y automóvil, bajando el precio de salida del combustible para la calefacción de los hogares de nuevo a 0,90 € por litro, en lugar del actual € 1,20. Se esperan beneficios.
Segundo Pilar: Reactivar la economía y promover la justicia fiscal
Costo total estimado: € 6.500 millones
Beneficio total estimado: € 3.000 millones
El segundo pilar se centra en medidas para reactivar la economía. Se da prioridad a disminuir la supresión del impuesto sobre la economía real, a levantar las cargas financieras de los ciudadanos, inyectando liquidez y aumentando la demanda.
Los impuestos excesivos a la clase media, así como sobre aquellos que no evaden impuestos, han puesto a gran parte de la ciudadanía en una situación que amenaza directamente su situación laboral; su propiedad privada, no importa cuán pequeña; e incluso su existencia física, tal como lo demuestra el número sin precedentes de suicidios.
Liquidación de las obligaciones financieras que se tengan con los fondos estatales y de seguridad social en 84 cuotas.
Beneficio estimado: € 3.000 millones
Los ingresos que esperamos recoger sobre una base anual (entre el 5% y el 15% del total de la deuda) se verán facilitados por las siguientes medidas:
- El cese inmediato de las acciones penales, así como de las confiscaciones de cuentas bancarias, residencias principales, salarios, etc., y la emisión de certificados de pago de impuestos a todos los incluidos en el proceso de liquidación.
- Una suspensión de doce meses de las medidas de persecución y ejecución contra los deudores con ingreso cero, incluidos en el proceso de liquidación.
- Derogación del tratamiento inconstitucional de las obligaciones financieras pendientes con el Estado como delito en el acto (delito flagrante).
- Abolición del 50% de pago obligatorio de la deuda pendiente del pago como requisito previo para solicitar una audiencia judicial. El pago inicial será decidido por un juez. Será alrededor del 10% -20%, de acuerdo a las circunstancias económicas del deudor.
Abolición inmediata del impuesto predial unificado actual (ENFIA). Introducción de un impuesto sobre la gran propiedad. Ajuste a la baja inmediata de las tasas de propiedad por zona en m².
Costo estimado: € 2.000 millones.
Este impuesto será progresivo con un umbral alto de exención tributaria. Con la excepción de las viviendas de lujo, no se aplicará a la residencia principal. Además, no se aplicará a la pequeña y mediana propiedad.
Restitución del umbral de impuesto a la renta anual a € 12.000. Aumento del número de tramos del impuesto para garantizar una carga de impuestos progresiva.
Costo estimado: € 1.500 millones.
Alivio de las deudas personales, mediante la reestructuración de las carteras vencidas («préstamos rojos») por parte de individuos y empresas.
Esta nueva legislación de alivio incluirá: la cancelación parcial caso por caso de la deuda contraída por las personas que ahora están bajo la línea de la pobreza, así como el principio general de reajuste de la deuda pendiente para que su mantenimiento total hacia los bancos, el Estado, y los fondos de seguridad social no exceda el tercio de los ingresos del deudor.
– Estamos creando una organización pública intermediaria para el manejo de la deuda privada que no será como un «banco malo», sino que funcionará como un gerente de cualquier pago vencido a los bancos, y como controlador del banco en cuanto a la aplicación de los acuerdos de pago.
– En los próximos días, SYRIZA presentará una propuesta de ley para extender al infinito la suspensión de las ejecuciones hipotecarias sobre vivienda habitual, avaluadas en menos de € 300.000.
– La propuesta de ley también incluirá la prohibición de vender o transferir los derechos sobre préstamos y sobre los cargos de tierras, para asegurar los préstamos a instituciones financieras no bancarias o empresas.
– Establecimiento de un banco público de desarrollo, así como de bancos para propósitos especiales:
Capital inicial de € 1.000 millones.
– Restauración del salario mínimo a € 751.
Cero costo.
Tercer Pilar: Plan nacional para la recuperación del empleo
Costo estimado: € 3.000 millones
Un aumento neto de puestos de trabajo por 300.000 en todos los sectores de la economía – privada, pública, social – se espera que sea el efecto de nuestro plan de dos años para la recuperación del empleo. Dicho plan es indispensable para absorber el desempleo de larga duración, sobre todo para los mayores de 55 años, así como para los jóvenes desempleados, que serían ignorados en gran medida por el crecimiento económico. Nuestro plan ahorraría fondos para ampliar el seguro de desempleo a más beneficiarios.
– Restitución del marco institucional para proteger los derechos laborales que fue demolido por los gobiernos del Memorandum.
– Restitución del así llamado «efecto secundario» de los convenios colectivos; de los convenios colectivos mismos, así como del arbitraje.
– Abolición de todos los reglamentos que permiten despidos masivos e injustificados, así como el alquiler de empleados.
Costo Cero.
– Programa de empleo para 300.000 nuevos puestos de trabajo.
Costo de primer año estimado: € 3.000 millones
Cuarto Pilar: Transformar el sistema político para profundizar la democracia
Costo total estimado: 0 €
Desde el primer año de gobierno de SYRIZA, pondremos en marcha el proceso para la reconstrucción institucional y democrática del Estado. Empoderaremos a las instituciones democráticas representativas e introduciremos nuevas instituciones de democracia directa.
– Organización territorial del Estado. Mejoramiento de la transparencia, de la autonomía económica y del funcionamiento eficaz de los municipios y regiones. Potenciaremos las instituciones de democracia directa, e introduciremos otras nuevas.
– Potenciación de la participación democrática de los ciudadanos. Introducción de nuevas instituciones, como la iniciativa legislativa popular, el veto popular y la iniciativa popular para convocar a referéndum.
– Empoderamiento del Parlamento, reducción de la inmunidad parlamentaria, y derogación del particular régimen jurídico de no enjuiciamiento a diputados.
– Regulación en el campo de las radios/televisiones, mediante la observación de todas las condiciones jurídicas y en adhesión a criterios estrictamente financieros, fiscales, y de seguridad social. Restablecimiento de la ERT (Radio television Helénica) desde cero[1].
Estimación del Costos de un plan no negociable de medidas inmediatas para la reestructuración de la sociedad.
Hemos calculado el costo total del programa inmediato para enfrentar la crisis humanitaria, así como el costo fiscal de eliminar las monstruosas medidas impositivas.
Será totalmente cubierto en lo que sigue:
- En primer lugar, a partir de las medidas y procedimientos de liquidación y compensación. Tenemos la intención de recoger, como mínimo, € 20.000 millones, de un total de € 68.000 millones en cuotas atrasadas en un período de siete años. Eso sería añadir aproximadamente € 3.000 millones a las arcas públicas en el primer año.
- En segundo lugar, por combatir decididamente contra la evasión fiscal y el contrabando (por ejemplo, de combustible y de cigarrillos), algo que requiere determinación y voluntad política para entrar en conflicto con los intereses de la oligarquía.
- En relación al capital inicial de la organización pública intermediario y el coste de la creación de un banco público de desarrollo, así como de los bancos para propósitos especiales, por un total de € 3.000 millones, vamos a financiarlos a partir del llamado «colchón de comodidad» de alrededor de € 11.000 millones del Fondo de Estabilidad Financiera Helénica, destinados para el sistema bancario.
- Con respecto al costo total del plan para la recuperación del empleo: asciende a € 5.000 millones, € 3.000 de los cuales son el costo durante el primer año de implementación. En ese primer año, el costo será financiado a través de: € 1.000 millones del Marco Estratégico Nacional de Referencia 2007-2013 «Proyectos Puente»; € 1.500 millones de su equivalente 2014-2020, y € 500 millones desde otros instrumentos europeos especializados para el empleo.
Adicionalmente, teniendo en cuenta el enorme esfuerzo que se requiere para restaurar las pensiones, nuestro gobierno, en lugar de rematar propiedad pública, transferirá una parte de ella a los fondos de seguridad social.
Este es el mínimo de medidas que deben adoptarse con el fin de revertir las consecuencias catastróficas del Involucramiento del Sector Privado (PSI) en los fondos de pensiones y los poseedores de bonos individuales, restaurando gradualmente las pensiones.
Costo Total Estimado del «Programa de Tesalónica»: € 11.382 millones
Total Estimado de Ingresos: € 12.000 millones
por Alexis Tsipras
Notas:
[1] Cerrada por el gobierno de Samarás el 12 de junio de 2013 para cumplir con las medidas impuestas por la Troika.
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